| Perusahaan
Otomobil Nasional Bhd (Proton) is gearing up for
a third stab at carving out a bigger slice of the
lucrative compact car market segment for itself.
Sources said Proton will unveil a new one-litre
compact car codenamed SCM as early as late next
year as part of efforts to broaden its earnings
base.
With about 100,000 units sold annually, the sub-market
for vehicles of one litre and below accounts for
a quarter of the country's total new vehicle sales.
Proton first ventured into the small car market
with the Citroen-based Tiara, but it has since been
phased out. It also launched the Juara mini multi-purpose
vehicle in the middle of last year, which is not
doing very well.
The Tiara suffered from the perception that its
technology is outdated while the boxy Juara, a clone
of the Mitsubishi Town box, has had a hard time
winning over conservative local car buyers. The
Juara was launched in July 2001 and by the end of
the year only about 770 units were sold.
The local one-litre and below sub-market has long
been dominated by Perusahaan Otomobil Kedua Sdn
Bhd (Perodua), which sells the popular Kancil, Kenari
and Kelisa as well as the 1.3-litre Kembara sports
vehicle and the Rusa multi-utility van.
Proton is now banking on the SCM to change that,
the new car being said to be very competitive in
cost and performance, as well as attractive in design.
Of the 327,447 passenger cars sold in 2001, Perodua
had a 29 per cent share, after Proton's 63 percent.
There are currently no marques under 1,000cc and
Perodua technically enjoys a monopoly in the segment.
Total passenger car sales for 2002 are expected
at about 340,000 units, while overall vehicle industry
sales should rise 3 per cent to 410,000 units, according
to the Malaysian Automotive Association.
Sources said Proton had hired two foreign specialist
concerns to help design the SCM - Proton's British
subsidiary Lotus Group and a design outfit of South
Korean conglomerate LG Group.
"The South Korean company was earlier expected
to come out with the design first, but it has run
into some problems with a South Korean carmaker
regarding the design.
"Lotus is now making a lot more progress in
the development," said a source close to the
project. But the South Koreans have since sorted
out the problems and are back in the SCM development
game plan, the source noted.
The SCM is only one of a string of new Proton models
slated for launch between now and 2005, as it grows
in confidence and competitiveness in the industry
which it first entered 16 years ago.
Models in the pipeline include a 1.8 Waja variant,
expected to be launched in the next two months or
so, as well as replacements for the Wira and Satria,
a pick-up truck, and a sports car. Most of the new
cars will have input from Lotus.
Aside from Perodua, Industri Otomotif Komersial
(M) Sdn Bhd (Inokom) is looming as a new competitor.
Inokom, accorded national carmaker status a few
months ago, is currently mainly involved in making
light commercial vehicles. It will roll out a multi-function
vehicle (MFV) soon. Based on the Hyundai Atoz, it
is a five-passenger one-litre micro MPV hatchback
and will be produced at Inokom's plant in Kedah.
When contacted, some analysts welcomed Proton's
re-entry in the compact car segment, saying the
market was big enough for both the company and Perodua,
adding that consumers would be spoilt for choice
in terms of affordable cars.
But others do not think so.
"It will not be beneficial to the national
car industry. Instead of competing head-on, Proton
and Perodua will benefit more if they cooperate
and pool resources," one said.
Having said that, Perodua is more than ready to
face stiffer competition given its established brand
and operation, he added, noting that a recent restructuring
has placed the company on a solid fooring to compete
in the country and regionally.
Technical partner Daihatsu, together with Mitsui,
of Japan has bought majority stakes in Perodua's
car and engine production subsidiaries - Perodua
Engine Sdn Bhd and Perodua Manufacturing Sdn Bhd
- through Perodua Auto Corp Sdn Bhd.
The exercise was effected in preparation for full
liberalisation of the industry under Asean Free
Trade Area in 2005. Perodua will be the main manufacturer
of the Daihatsu cars for the Asean market. Sales
could start as early as 2004.
It says EON should be fairly valued
at 4.5 times FY04 earnings versus the sector's average
of 6.5 times. "However, we have cut our revised
net asset value (RNAV) estimate from RM10.60 to
RM9.52 per share to reflect the lower earnings forecasts."
As at 4 pm, EON was up five cent
to RM8.80.
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